4 proprietary MLB models · F5 · NRFI · 40+ books tracked

THE ONLY ANALYTICS TOOL
THAT POSTS ITS LOSSES.

Sharp MLB intelligence. Independent model. Auto-graded results — wins AND losses tracked in public. No hype. Just math.

START 3-DAY FREE TRIALView today's picks →

3 days free · No charge until trial ends · Cancel anytime

AUTO-GRADEDPUBLIC TRACK RECORDINDEPENDENT MODEL21+NOT A SPORTSBOOK

4

Proprietary MLB models

15+

Games priced daily

40+

Books tracked

168k

Training rows (2024–26)

HOW IT WORKS

01

The Model Prices Every Game

Our MLB model uses pitcher ERA grades, park factors, weather, and bullpen load to compute a fair probability for every matchup. We don't copy Pinnacle. We build from scratch.

02

We Compare to 40+ Books

Our scanner checks every major sportsbook in real time. When our fair price disagrees with the market by 3%+, we flag it as an edge.

03

You Get the Edges, Auto-Graded

Every flagged edge shows up on your dashboard. After each game, the pick auto-grades. Wins, losses, ROI, CLV — all tracked in the Research Lab.

2 proprietary MLB models

Sharply's MLB

ML Model

Pitcher ERA grades · Park HR factor · Weather · Bullpen load · 62%+ win prob picks

📈

Sharply's MLB Props

Edge Model

Grade A MLB props only · L5/L10 hit rates · edge vs no-vig fair line · Platoon splits

F5 Model

NEW

First 5 innings ML. SP-weighted · No bullpen · survived-5 rate · vs h2h_1st_5_innings odds

🔴

NRFI / YRFI

NEW

No Run First Inning model. SP 1st-inning ERA · team 1st-inn run rates · Poisson edge vs book

Soccer Originator

COMING SOON

Dixon-Coles Poisson · EPL · La Liga · UCL · MLS

WHAT SHARP BETTORS SAY

The Sharply's MLB is the first model I've used that actually explains why — ERA edges, park factors, bullpen load. Not just a number.

MI

@mike_c

Sharply's MLB · Active since launch

Grade A props are the real deal. Vilade walks, Mayer H+R+RBI — all flagged before the lines moved. Edge is real.

JT

@jt_props

Sharply's MLB Props · +24.2u tracked this season

Ask the AI analyst about any game and it pulls live ERA data, park factors, ump K rates. It actually knows the numbers.

DE

@derek22

Sharply AI · live model data

WHY SHARPLY ISN'T A CAPPER

The model does the work. You see the math.

Capper Services

Sharply

"Trust me bro" picks

Transparent model with public methodology

Hidden losses

Every pick auto-graded. Nothing deleted.

Opinion-driven

Data-driven — ERA grades, park factors, bullpen load

$100+/month for "VIP picks"

$12.99/mo for unlimited model access

Bro energy

Analytical, boring, effective

IS SHARPLY FOR YOU?

✓ Built for you if…

You care about CLV more than W/L

You want to see the math, not just the pick

You're tired of capper services with no track record

You want tools, not hot takes

✗ Not for you if…

Chasing parlays with 5+ legs

Looking for "lock of the day" tips

You want picks without reasoning

Needing action every minute

If the first list sounds like you —

RESEARCH LAB

PUBLIC TRACK RECORD

Every pick. Every loss. Every game. Auto-graded overnight.

The Research Lab shows season performance in real time — by pick type, edge range, and confidence grade. Most capper services promise performance. Sharply proves it on a page anyone can refresh at any time.

🔬 View live track record →

SIMPLE PRICING

All plans include a 3-day free trial. Cancel anytime.

Weekly

$7.99/wk
Most Popular

Monthly

$24.99/mo
Save 48%

Annual

$12.99/mo

$155.88 billed yearly

NO HIDDEN UPSELLS · NO “VIP PICKS” TIER · ONE PRODUCT, ALL EDGES, ONE PRICE

All plans include

Game lines — all 14+ MLB games priced daily
Sharply's MLB Props — Grade A edges only, sorted by confidence
Sharply AI — unlimited queries
Research Lab — live season track record
Full schedule with live odds
Bet tracking + ROI dashboard
F5 + NRFI/YRFI model — first-inning edges daily
EV Scanner + Soccer Originator (launching soon)

WHY START TODAY

1

MLB season is active. Every day you wait is analysis you missed.

2

162 games per team. 14+ matchups per day. 57+ Grade A prop edges most nights.

3

Your 3-day trial runs while the model's hottest week is happening.

4

By Monday, you'll have 3 days of auto-graded picks to compare against the market.

One click. Three days. No card.

START FREE TRIAL →

FREQUENTLY ASKED

STOP GUESSING.
START ANALYZING.

Join sharp bettors using real data to find real edges. 3 days free, no credit card required.

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Must be 21+. Gamble responsibly. Not financial advice.